{"id":36149,"date":"2026-07-06T17:30:01","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T10:30:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huanqiuribao.com\/?p=36149"},"modified":"2026-07-06T16:47:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T09:47:18","slug":"1190%e4%ba%bf%e7%be%8e%e5%80%ba%e9%95%bf%e7%ab%af%e6%8b%8d%e5%8d%96%e7%9b%b4%e9%9d%a2%e5%81%87%e6%9c%9f%e5%a4%a7%e8%80%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huanqiuribao.com\/?p=36149","title":{"rendered":"1190\u4ebf\u7f8e\u503a\u957f\u7aef\u62cd\u5356\u76f4\u9762\u201c\u5047\u671f\u5927\u8003\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u72ec\u7acb\u65e5\u5047\u671f\u540e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u5c06\u5728\u672c\u5468\u5b8c\u62101190\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56fd\u503a\u53d1\u884c\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5468\u4e8c\u62cd\u53563\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u5f00\u573a\uff0c\u5468\u4e09\u548c\u5468\u56db\u5206\u522b\u8ddf\u8fdb10\u5e74\u671f\u548c30\u5e74\u671f\u6807\u5fd7\u6027\u957f\u503a\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5047\u671f\u5f52\u6765\u540e\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u80fd\u5426\u627f\u63a5\u957f\u7aef\u4f9b\u7ed9\u2014\u2014Mischler Financial Group\u8463\u4e8b\u603b\u7ecf\u7406Tom di Galoma\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c”\u6bcf\u9022\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4f9b\u7ed9\u5468\u524d\u540e\u906d\u9047\u8282\u5047\u65e5\uff0c\u591a\u573a\u62cd\u5356\u51fa\u73b0’\u5c3e\u90e8’\uff08tail\uff09\u7684\u6982\u7387\u76f8\u5f53\u9ad8\u3002”\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u4e2d\u6bb5\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a86\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u6599\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u53e6\u4e00\u7126\u70b9\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u4ece\u4e2d\u7814\u5224\u65b0\u4efb\u4e3b\u5e2dKevin Warsh\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e0b\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u5b8f\u89c2\u80cc\u666f\u4e0a\uff0c\u957f\u7aef\u7f8e\u503a\u8fd1\u671f\u6301\u7eed\u627f\u538b\u3002\u4f0a\u6717\u51b2\u7a81\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u52a0\u5267\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u8d22\u653f\u538b\u529b\u6301\u7eed\u7d2f\u79ef\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u538b\u5236\u4e86\u957f\u7aef\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u8dcc\u7ea60.6%\u81f3\u6bcf\u687671.70\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u901a\u80c0\u987e\u8651\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u4ee4\u56fd\u503a\u4ef7\u683c\u83b7\u5f97\u77ed\u6682\u652f\u6491\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u884c\u7ea62\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f34.46%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5047\u671f\u6548\u5e94\u53e0\u52a0\u957f\u7aef\u4f9b\u7ed9\uff0c\u62cd\u5356\u9700\u6c42\u5b58\u9690\u5fe7<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u56fd\u503a\u62cd\u5356\u89c4\u6a21\u603b\u8ba11190\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u957f\u7aef\u54c1\u79cd\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u8003\u91cf\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002\u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u81ea\u4f0a\u6717\u51b2\u7a81\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\u6301\u7eed\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u6500\u5347\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0d\u65ad\u79ef\u7d2f\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

Tom di Galoma\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u524d\u666f\u8868\u793a\u8c28\u614e\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u524d\u540e\u5f80\u5f80\u9020\u6210\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7f3a\u5e2d\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u4f9b\u7ed9\u5468\u53e0\u52a0\u5047\u671f\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u4e0b\uff0c\u591a\u573a\u62cd\u5356\u540c\u65f6\u51fa\u73b0”\u5c3e\u90e8”\u2014\u2014\u5373\u5b9e\u9645\u4e2d\u6807\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u53d1\u884c\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u2014\u2014\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4e0d\u53ef\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u60c5\u5f62\u82e5\u6210\u771f\uff0c\u5c06\u76f4\u63a5\u63a8\u9ad8\u957f\u7aef\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u5bf9\u6301\u4ed3\u8f83\u91cd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6784\u6210\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u516c\u5e03\u7684ISM\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u6b64\u524d6\u6708\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u5927\u5e45\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u503a\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u5bf9\u4eca\u5e74\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5982\u679cISM\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u5c06\u4e3a\u672c\u5468\u7684\u62cd\u5356\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6c83\u4ec0”\u53bb\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15”\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u89e3\u8bfb6\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u4e2d\u6bb5\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a86\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0c\u5c06\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u89e3\u8bfbWarsh\u65b0\u9886\u5bfc\u98ce\u683c\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7a97\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n

TD Securities\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Molly Brooks\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u7eaa\u8981\u7684\u770b\u70b9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u4e8e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u5206\u6b67\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd8\u5728\u4e8e\u6587\u4ef6\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u7bc7\u5e45\u4e0e\u63aa\u8f9e\u7ed3\u6784\u3002”\u9274\u4e8eWarsh\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6709\u610f\u524a\u51cf\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u7eaa\u8981\u7684\u6784\u6210\u548c\u957f\u5ea6\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u5c06\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u7528\u4e8e\u5224\u65ad\u8fd9\u4e00\u8f6c\u53d8\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u751f\u3002”<\/p>\n

\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\u7684\u5f31\u5316\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u80fd\u89c1\u5ea6\u5c06\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u66f4\u591a\u4f9d\u8d56\u9ad8\u9891\u6570\u636e\u800c\u975e\u592e\u884c\u4fe1\u53f7\u6765\u6821\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7ebf\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7\u903b\u8f91\u5177\u6709\u6df1\u8fdc\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u82e5\u5e02\u573a\u65e0\u6cd5\u951a\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u7ec8\u70b9\uff0c\u957f\u7aef\u6ea2\u4ef7\u6599\u5c06\u8d8b\u4e8e\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u66f2\u7ebf\u9661\u5ced\u5316\u538b\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u3002<\/p>\n

\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u514d\u8d23\u58f0\u660e\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u65b0\u95fb\uff08\u6216\u56fe\u7247\uff09\u4e3a\u5206\u4eab\/\u63f4\u5f15\/\u50a8\u5b58\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5176\u5185\u5bb9\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672c\u62a5\/\u672c\u7f51\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u5982\u6709\u9519\u8bef\u6216\u76f8\u5173\u4fb5\u6743\u8bf7\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u5220\u9664\uff0c\u8c22\u8c22\uff01<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u72ec\u7acb\u65e5\u5047\u671f\u540e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002 \u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u5c06\u5728\u672c\u5468\u5b8c\u62101190\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56fd\u503a\u53d1\u884c\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5468\u4e8c\u62cd\u53563\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u5f00\u573a\uff0c\u5468\u4e09\u548c\u5468\u56db\u5206\u522b\u8ddf\u8fdb10\u5e74\u671f\u548c30\u5e74\u671f\u6807\u5fd7\u6027\u957f\u503a\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5047\u671f\u5f52\u6765\u540e\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u80fd\u5426\u627f\u63a5\u957f\u7aef\u4f9b\u7ed9\u2014\u2014Mischler Financial Group\u8463\u4e8b\u603b\u7ecf\u7406Tom di Galoma\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c”\u6bcf\u9022\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4f9b\u7ed9\u5468\u524d\u540e\u906d\u9047\u8282\u5047\u65e5\uff0c\u591a\u573a\u62cd\u5356\u51fa\u73b0’\u5c3e\u90e8’\uff08tail\uff09\u7684\u6982\u7387\u76f8\u5f53\u9ad8\u3002”\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u4e2d\u6bb5\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a86\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u6599\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u53e6\u4e00\u7126\u70b9\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u4ece\u4e2d\u7814\u5224\u65b0\u4efb\u4e3b\u5e2dKevin Warsh\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e0b\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002 \u5728\u5b8f\u89c2\u80cc\u666f\u4e0a\uff0c\u957f\u7aef\u7f8e\u503a\u8fd1\u671f\u6301\u7eed\u627f\u538b\u3002\u4f0a\u6717\u51b2\u7a81\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u52a0\u5267\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u8d22\u653f\u538b\u529b\u6301\u7eed\u7d2f\u79ef\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u538b\u5236\u4e86\u957f\u7aef\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u8dcc\u7ea60.6%\u81f3\u6bcf\u687671.70\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u901a\u80c0\u987e\u8651\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u4ee4\u56fd\u503a\u4ef7\u683c\u83b7\u5f97\u77ed\u6682\u652f\u6491\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u884c\u7ea62\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f34.46%\u3002 \u5047\u671f\u6548\u5e94\u53e0\u52a0\u957f\u7aef\u4f9b\u7ed9\uff0c\u62cd\u5356\u9700\u6c42\u5b58\u9690\u5fe7 \u672c\u5468\u56fd\u503a\u62cd\u5356\u89c4\u6a21\u603b\u8ba11190\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u957f\u7aef\u54c1\u79cd\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u8003\u91cf\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002\u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u81ea\u4f0a\u6717\u51b2\u7a81\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\u6301\u7eed\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u6500\u5347\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0d\u65ad\u79ef\u7d2f\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u538b\u529b\u3002 Tom di Galoma\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u524d\u666f\u8868\u793a\u8c28\u614e\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u524d\u540e\u5f80\u5f80\u9020\u6210\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7f3a\u5e2d\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u4f9b\u7ed9\u5468\u53e0\u52a0\u5047\u671f\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u4e0b\uff0c\u591a\u573a\u62cd\u5356\u540c\u65f6\u51fa\u73b0”\u5c3e\u90e8”\u2014\u2014\u5373\u5b9e\u9645\u4e2d\u6807\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u53d1\u884c\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u2014\u2014\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4e0d\u53ef\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u60c5\u5f62\u82e5\u6210\u771f\uff0c\u5c06\u76f4\u63a5\u63a8\u9ad8\u957f\u7aef\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u5bf9\u6301\u4ed3\u8f83\u91cd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6784\u6210\u538b\u529b\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u516c\u5e03\u7684ISM\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u6b64\u524d6\u6708\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u5927\u5e45\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u503a\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u5bf9\u4eca\u5e74\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5982\u679cISM\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u5c06\u4e3a\u672c\u5468\u7684\u62cd\u5356\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6491\u3002 \u6c83\u4ec0”\u53bb\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15”\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u89e3\u8bfb6\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981 \u672c\u5468\u4e2d\u6bb5\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a86\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0c\u5c06\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u89e3\u8bfbWarsh\u65b0\u9886\u5bfc\u98ce\u683c\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7a97\u53e3\u3002 TD Securities\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Molly Brooks\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u7eaa\u8981\u7684\u770b\u70b9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u4e8e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u5206\u6b67\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd8\u5728\u4e8e\u6587\u4ef6\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u7bc7\u5e45\u4e0e\u63aa\u8f9e\u7ed3\u6784\u3002”\u9274\u4e8eWarsh\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6709\u610f\u524a\u51cf\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u7eaa\u8981\u7684\u6784\u6210\u548c\u957f\u5ea6\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u5c06\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u7528\u4e8e\u5224\u65ad\u8fd9\u4e00\u8f6c\u53d8\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u751f\u3002” 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Brooks\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u7eaa\u8981\u7684\u770b\u70b9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u4e8e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u5206\u6b67\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd8\u5728\u4e8e\u6587\u4ef6\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u7bc7\u5e45\u4e0e\u63aa\u8f9e\u7ed3\u6784\u3002”\u9274\u4e8eWarsh\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6709\u610f\u524a\u51cf\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u7eaa\u8981\u7684\u6784\u6210\u548c\u957f\u5ea6\u672c\u8eab\u4e5f\u5c06\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u7528\u4e8e\u5224\u65ad\u8fd9\u4e00\u8f6c\u53d8\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u751f\u3002” 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