{"id":35581,"date":"2026-06-30T16:30:20","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T09:30:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huanqiuribao.com\/?p=35581"},"modified":"2026-06-30T17:21:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T10:21:36","slug":"%e9%bb%84%e9%87%91%e6%9c%88%e5%86%85%e7%b4%af%e8%ae%a1%e8%b7%8c%e8%b6%8512","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huanqiuribao.com\/?p=35581","title":{"rendered":"\u9ec4\u91d1\u6708\u5185\u7d2f\u8ba1\u8dcc\u8d8512%"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u9893\u52bf\uff0c\u9ad8\u76db\u4ecd\u7ef4\u6301\u5e74\u672b4900\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u4ef7\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u9ad8\u76db\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7814\u7a76\u8054\u5e2d\u4e3b\u7ba1Samantha Dart\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u65e5\u665a\u95f4\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\uff1a”\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u884c\u60c5\u5c1a\u672a\u7ed3\u675f\u3002”\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u6765\u81ea\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u592e\u884c\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u591a\u5143\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u897f\u65b9\u8d22\u653f\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u7684\u957f\u671f\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u4f46\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u636e\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u89c1\u95fb\u6b64\u524d\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u9ad8\u76db\u4e0a\u5468\u5c062026\u5e74\u5e95\u9ec4\u91d1\u76ee\u6807\u4ef7\u4ece\u6bcf\u91d1\u8861\u76ce\u53f85400\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f34900\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u8fd1\u671f\u7b56\u7565\u5b9a\u6027\u4e3a”\u6218\u672f\u8c28\u614e”\u3002<\/p>\n

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CME FedWatch\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u76ee\u524d\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4eca\u5e74\u5c06\u52a0\u606f\u4e09\u6b21\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u5c069\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5b9a\u4ef7\u81f3\u7ea664%\u3002”\u5e02\u573a\u9762\u4e34\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u548c\u5f3a\u52bf\u7f8e\u5143\u4e09\u91cd\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u8db3\u4ee5\u538b\u5236\u901a\u5e38\u80fd\u9a71\u52a8\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u4e00\u5207\u5229\u591a\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c” Marex\u5206\u6790\u5e08Edward Meir\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5728\u6280\u672f\u9762\uff0cVantage Markets\u58a8\u5c14\u672c\u5206\u6790\u5e08Hebe Chen\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u8dcc\u7834\u8fd1\u671f\u5173\u952e\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u540e\uff0c\u629b\u538b\u660e\u663e\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u7684\u83b7\u5229\u4e86\u7ed3\u5df2\u6f14\u53d8\u4e3a\u66f4\u6df1\u5c42\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u52a8\u80fd\u74e6\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u9ad8\u76db\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u81ea2022\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u5df2\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4e0a\u6da8123%\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u4e0a\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u5e76\u672a\u6539\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

“\u4ece\u7ed3\u6784\u5c42\u9762\u770b\uff0c\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u592e\u884c\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u591a\u5143\u5316\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u6e90\u4e8e2022\u5e74\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u50a8\u5907\u906d\u51bb\u7ed3\u4e8b\u4ef6\u2014\u2014\u4ecd\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u7ef4\u63014900\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u5e74\u672b\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u951a\u70b9\uff0c”Samantha Dart\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u53cd\u5f39\u9700\u6ee1\u8db3\u4e09\u4e2a\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8b66\u793a\u6574\u7406\u6216\u6301\u7eed<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u591a\u5934\u4f55\u65f6\u80fd\u591f\u91cd\u65b0\u638c\u63e1\u4e3b\u52a8\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5b58\u5728\u660e\u786e\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u6761\u4ef6\u3002OCBC\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Christopher Wong\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff1a<\/p>\n

“\u9ec4\u91d1\u591a\u5934\u81f3\u5c11\u9700\u8981\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e09\u4e2a\u6761\u4ef6\u4e4b\u4e00\u5f97\u5230\u6539\u5584\uff1a\u5b9e\u9645\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0b\u884c\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u6216\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u660e\u663e\u56de\u6446\u3002\u5426\u5219\uff0c\u53cd\u5f39\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u9010\u4e00\u6d88\u5316\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6216\u5c06\u5728\u524d\u671f\u9ad8\u4f4d\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7ef4\u6301\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u9707\u8361\u6574\u7406\u3002”<\/p>\n

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\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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Meir\u8868\u793a\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f20\u7edf\u4e0a\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\u5bf9\u51b2\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u5176\u4f5c\u4e3a\u65e0\u606f\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4f1a\u663e\u8457\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u672c\u6708\u8fc4\u4eca\u5347\u503c\u903e2%\uff0c\u6b63\u8fc8\u5411\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4ee4\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u8ba1\u4ef7\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u6301\u6709\u8005\u800c\u8a00\u6108\u52a0\u6602\u8d35\u3002 \u5728\u6280\u672f\u9762\uff0cVantage Markets\u58a8\u5c14\u672c\u5206\u6790\u5e08Hebe Chen\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u8dcc\u7834\u8fd1\u671f\u5173\u952e\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u540e\uff0c\u629b\u538b\u660e\u663e\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u7684\u83b7\u5229\u4e86\u7ed3\u5df2\u6f14\u53d8\u4e3a\u66f4\u6df1\u5c42\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u52a8\u80fd\u74e6\u89e3\u3002 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